I really like Kentucky in this spot not only are we getting value, because they haven’t been close to covering any of their last 5 games with the exception of Auburn, a game they should have covered and won, but they are coming off one of their worst performances, losing 27-3 to Georgia last week. Kentucky did not have their best offensive player in that game in Boom Williams which to me is a huge deal. He’s probably for this week and if he plays and they give him 15+ carries Kentucky will win this game. Boom Williams is the best SEC RB that nobody has heard of. He’s definitely the best RB that Vanderbilt has faced since week 2 when they faced Nick Chubb and allowed Georgia to run wild for 281 yards. Vanderbilt’s run defense has quietly been average allowing 4.38 yards per carry in conference play. Kentucky has to be smart here with their offense due to the struggles of Patrick Towles and with Williams back, and a bowl game on the line I think they will do just that.

Vanderbilt on the other hand is in a brutal stretch 5 of their last 6 games on the road including 3 of the last 4 without a bye week. This is a tough tough spot coming off an emotional loss down at Florida a game they nearly had pulled the great upset. I’m expecting a close game because Vanderbilt does have a very good defense, but Kentucky’s defense has played well too, and Vanderbilt’s offense is arguably the worst in the nation. Vanderbilt is very much like Missouri, and Kentucky handled Missouri pretty well. Vanderbilt has huge issues in the kicking game and is the worst red zone offense in the country with 38% TD percentage 28% in conference play and 61% scoring percentage. Compare that with Kentucky’s 89%. Kentucky also plays good defense in the red zone allowing just 51% TD’s in conference play.

Kentucky has also struggled with turnovers, but wouldn’t you know it Vanderbilt has out done them turning the ball over 5 more times. I just think this is a perfect value spot for Kentucky who has more to play for with Charlotte on deck there is a good chance they go to bowl game with a win here.

Where to find Freddy?